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NFL Week 6 Power Rankings Buffalo Bills take theop spot San

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NFL Week 6 Power Rankings: Buffalo Bills take the top spot, San Francisco 49ers fall out of the top five

By Amelia Probst, Haley English, Judah Fortgang and Arjun Menon

• The top five:Buffalo BillsKansas City ChiefsPhiladelphia EaglesTampa Bay BuccaneersandGreen Bay Packers.

•Biggest riser:New York Giants(up six spots)

• Biggestfaller:Tennessee Titans(down five spots)

Over the past five weeks, weve seen a wide range of blowouts, injuries and fourth-down decisions. And because of this, our thoughts on the leagues teams havechanged.

Today, well rank each NFL team and explain our choices through visualizations. We based these rankings onPFFs power rankings tooland adjusted them based on our beliefs and data.

PFFs power rankings toolis based on the relative quality of each team as defined by point-spread team ratings, the number of points each team would be better or worse than an average team on a neutral field.

Sitting at 4-1, the Giants are starting to put the league on notice, with running backSaquon Barkleybursting onto the scene again. With virtually zero WAR lost due to injury, theyve been a very healthy team to start the season. We have them sitting at 17th, as they had two easier wins against thePanthersandBearsbut did enjoy an impressive win over thePackers.

This upcoming week, they face a big test against aRavensoffense that has torn up defenses this season, so can the Giants keep pace?

The Titans have won three straight after starting 0-2. However, were not entirely convinced about this team, given that the three teams they beat have a combined record of 4-10-1, while the two teams that beat them have a combined record of 8-2.

The Titans have also punted on fourth down more than any other team and are conservative in their playcalling.

We know that injuries can make or break a teams chances of winning. The question is, can the teams overcome them?

To measure the impact of injuries this season, weve looked atPFF WARlost.

PFF WARassigns a number to how good a player is in a season and how many wins they added to the team relative to an average player in their position. Since it is calculated from season to season, rookies are not included in this visualization. We also included suspensions in the total WAR lost.

The 49ers have been hit hard:The49ershave lost the most WAR this season. SafetyJimmie Ward(0.438 WAR) was their biggest loss. Other significant losses include linebackerAzeez Al-Shaair(0.194), running backElijah Mitchell(0.132) and quarterbackTrey Lance(0.185).

The Bills have overcome:While theBillshave lost key defensive players includingTreDavious WhiteMicah HydeandXavier Rhodes their younger players have stepped up. It also helps that their offense ranks second in the league inexpected points added (EPA) per play.

Elo is a measure of a teams strength based on their game results and the strength of their opponents. Following Week 5, we can use our PFF Elo to determine the biggest risers and fallers.

TheRamshave slowly been falling in PFF Elo and notably scored only 10 points at home against theCowboysin Week 5. On the other side of the division, the 49ers have increased their PFF Elo and are currently riding a two-game win streak into their matchup with theFalcons.

A close call for Tom Brady:TheBuccaneershad the biggest change in Elo from Week 4 to Week 5 despite losing to theChiefsin Week 4.Tom Bradyhad never lost to the Falcons in his career, butMarcus Mariota& Co. came back from 21-0 to score 15 points in the fourth quarter. In the end, a roughing-the-passer penalty came at the right time to ensure that the Falcons wouldnt have another chance to score.

We have the Buccaneers sitting at No. 4 in our rankings, and upcoming games against thePanthersandSteelersmay lead to easy victories to make up for home losses in Weeks 3 and 4.

Fourth-down decision-making can be very contentious. Last week,Bengalshead coach Zac Taylors decision to go for it late in the game resulted in no points. And if they had kicked a field goal, the Bengals might have won the game. Hindsight is 20/20.

Can we attribute the result of this play to a poor play call or bad decision-making?

Though theLionshave won only a single game, theyve been aggressive on fourth-down decisions. They are 14th in team offense grade not bad for a one-win team but they are 23rd in EPA per play on fourth down. Their aggressiveness has not been successful. Their defense has also been struggling, as their 50. 1 team defense grade ranks above only theCardinals. This justifies Detroits ranking at 29.

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